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Yates, Kit.
Subjects
Forecasting.
Forecasting -- Psychological aspects.
Probabilities.
Browse Catalog
by author:
Yates, Kit.
by title:
How to expect the un...
by call number:
303.49 Y32h
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Yates, Kit.
Forecasting.
Forecasting -- Psychological aspects.
Probabilities.
MARC Display
How
to
expect
the
unexpected
: the
science
of
making
predictions
--
and the
art
of
knowing
when
not to / Kit Yates.
by
Yates, Kit.
Basic Books, 2023.
Call #:
303.49 Y32h
Subjects
Forecasting.
Forecasting
--
Psychological aspects.
Probabilities.
ISBN:
9781541604933 (hc)
Edition:
1st US ed.
Description:
434 p. : ill. ; 24 cm.
Notes:
"Originally published in 2023 by Quercus, an Hachette Book Group, Inc."--T.p. verso.
Bibliography:
Includes bibliographical references (p. 409-434).
Summary:
"A “vivid, wide-ranging, and delightful guide” (bestselling author Tim Harford) for understanding
how
and why
predictions
go wrong, with practical tips to give you a better chance of getting them right.
How
can you be 100 percent sure you will win a bet? Why did so many Pompeians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting? Are you more likely to work in a kitchen if your last name is Baker? Ever since the dawn of human civilization, we have been trying to make
predictions
about what the world has in store for us. For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. In
How
to
Expect
the
Unexpected
, mathematician Kit Yates uncovers the surprising
science
that undergirds our
predictions
--
and
how
we can use it to our advantage. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor
predictions
all the time. Synthesizing results from math, biology, psychology, sociology, medicine, economic theory, and physics, Yates provides tools for readers to understand uncertainty and to recognize the cognitive biases that make accurate
predictions
so hard to come by. This book will teach you
how
and why
predictions
go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts, and give you a better chance of getting your own
predictions
correct."--Publisher.
Holds:
0
Copy/Holding information
Location
Collection
Call No.
Item type
Status
Due Date
Halifax North Memorial Public Library
Adult Nonfiction
303.49 Y32h
Adult books
Checked out
Jul 15, 2024
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